Fight Night 144 Odds

The next major MMA event takes place on Saturday night, with UFC Fight Night live from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

UFC Fight Night 144 predictions, fight card, odds, start time, how to watch, live stream UFC returns to Brazil on Saturday night with many hometown fighters on the card from Fortaleza. In MMA, Over/Under bets are based on the total rounds the fight lasts. If the Over/Under is 2.5 rounds, you’d choose a side and hope the fight lasted more (over) or less (under) than 2.5 rounds. Other types of interesting MMA bets include round betting, and the always entertaining method-of-victory bet.

The main event features No. 2-ranked Curtis Blaydes meeting No. 4-ranked Derrick Lewis in heavyweight action.

As always with a UFC event, there are certainly plenty of bets to be made. Let's take a look at some of them.

UFC Fight Night odds for Blaydes vs. Lewis

Curtis Blaydes: -450
Derrick Lewis: +333

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(All odds via BetMGM)

BetMGM has Blaydes installed as a massive favorite — as of Wednesday he comes in at -450, meaning you'd need to bet $450 to win $100. Meanwhile, Lewis is a +333, meaning if you pluck down $100, you'd win $333.

Blaydes (14-2, one no-contest) enters the contest on a four-fight winning streak, including a unanimous decision win over No. 5-ranked Alexander Volkov in a UFC Fight Night headliner back in June. A win against Lewis would move Blaydes toward his first UFC title shot.

Lewis (24-7, one no-contest), a former heavyweight title challenger, is on a good run of his own. The Texas native has won three consecutive bouts, including a second-round TKO victory against No. 10-ranked Aleksei Oleinik in a UFC Fight Night main event back in August. Getting a victory over Blaydes would give 'The Black Beast' another opportunity at UFC gold after losing by second-round submission to Daniel Cormier at UFC 230 in November 2018.

When you look at Blaydes and Lewis' respective resumes and fighting styles, you can see why the oddsmakers are all in on the former. Blaydes' ground game is second to none and the best in the heavyweight division. Look at what he did to Mark Hunt and Alexander Volkov. He took them down at will, suffocated, mauled, and beat them up the entire way.

Suppose guys are stuffing Blaydes' takedown attempts or somehow getting back up to their feet. In that case, the Illinois native has no problem letting his hands go and slinging the leather, evidenced by the destructive TKO wins over ranked contenders Oleinik, Alistair Overeem, and former champion Junior dos Santos.

Plain and simple, Lewis is a one-trick pony. He's looking for the knockout for the duration of the fight. Out of his 24 career wins, 19 of them have come by knockout, with 11 coming in the UFC. Lewis is always one punch away from putting your lights out — with his last-second KO of Volkov at UFC 229 in a fight he was down on the scorecards.

In the buildup to Saturday night, Blaydes' made it clear that he would try and take Lewis down and batter him for his path to victory, understanding the Texan possesses uncanny power.

Does Lewis have a chance? Of course, he does. It is a fight, and anything can happen. Blaydes will get Lewis down and wear him down to the point of exhaustion. From there, it will be up to Blaydes on how he wants to finish things off as he will extend his winning streak to five.

You gain nothing from betting Blaydes unless you have an excessive amount of money to waste. Take a flyer on Lewis, as those odds are too good to pass up on a guy whose ranked number four in the weight class.

Overeem vs. Volkov prediction

Muehlhausen pick: Curtis Blaydes
Best odds: Derrick Lewis to win by KO/TKO, Submission or DQ: +450

More Overeem vs. Volkov odds

Total number or rounds: over/under

Over 1.5: -185
Under 1.5: +155

Will the fight go the distance?

Yes: +260
No: -350

Method of victory

Blaydes by KO/TKO/DQ or submission: -165
Blaydes by decision: +340
Tie/technical tie: +5000
Lewis by KO/TKO/DQ or submission: +400
Lewis by decision: +1600

The UFC heads to Fortaleza, Brazil, this weekend with an incredible fight card that features true legends of the sport and several fast-rising prospects in mixed martial arts.

UFC Fight Night 144 is headlined by a fascinating high-stakes rematch between top-tier bantamweight contenders, Raphael Assuncao and Marlon Moraes.

It won’t be the first time that these two meet inside the Octagon, however.

Back in March 2017, Assuncao welcomed Moraes to the UFC and edged a split decision victory, snapping Moraes’ 13-fight winning streak in the process.

This time around, the bout has much more significance, as White and the UFC have been advertising this fight as a title eliminator in the bantamweight division. The winner will emerge as the next opponent for bantamweight champion, TJ Dillashaw.

Here are the odds for this fantastic main event matchup.

Fight Night 144 Odds

Raphael Assuncao could be one of the most disrespected and/or ignored fighters in UFC history. The 36-year-old mixed martial artist has won 11 of his last 12 bouts, losing just once to current champion, TJ Dillashaw in July 2016. Before then, Assuncao had already recorded a win over Dillashaw in 2013. Yet, despite his continued brilliance, Assuncao has never been allowed a title shot. After his last victory – a unanimous decision win against Rob Font at UFC 226 – it looked more than certain that Assuncao would finally get his opportunity to fight for the UFC Bantamweight Championship. But it was never to be.

Instead, Dana White and the UFC booked him against Moraes, again, despite a recent victory against the fellow Brazilian.

Moraes himself has been on a tear through the division ever since he lost to Assuncao in 2017. Moraes maintains that he was the deserving winner of that fight and many fans and media agree with that statement. Now, he’ll have his chance to prove it after climbing his way through the rankings. Moraes is most recently coming off an impressive first-round victory against the very talented Jimmie Rivera. That 33-second KO victory came just one fight after he knocked out Aljamain Sterling with a devastating knee in 67 seconds.

Marlon Moraes is for real, and this is shaping up to be one hell of a fight.

Fight Breakdown

There’s a lot to unpack from the first time these two met.

Assuncao, a typically slow-starting counter striker, got the best of Moraes in the early stages of the fight. For the most part, Assuncao crashed heavy right hands into the face of Moraes and backed him up enough to make it a competitive matchup. Moraes was landing with strikes of similar impact, but Assuncao looked to be doing more of the work in the first two rounds especially. By the third round, Moraes seemingly had Assuncao worked out.

With in-fight adjustments, Moraes began to confuse Assuncao with consistent feints and lateral movement. As Assuncao is primarily a counter striker, Moraes and his corner believed the feints would keep Assuncao on the back foot and disable his striking ability – they were right for the most part. When Assuncao was forced to move forward and be the aggressor, he looked considerably worse than when playing the role of counter striker.

Fight Night 144 Odds Against

Effectively, Moraes had begun to realize the ideal strategy against Assuncao and started to implement this to great effect in the last four minutes of the final round – despite the judges giving this round (and fight) to his rival.

Another main takeaway from this previous clash is that Assuncao seemingly slowed down due to both the aforementioned feints and in-fight adjustments, but also what seemed to be fatigue issues. Assuncao has never fought in a five-round fight before in his professional career whereas Moraes has experience of five-round fights during his time at World Series of Fighting. Could this be the difference maker?

Fight Night 144 Odds For Today

For the most part, we can look at Moraes’ slow start as something that might not occur this time around. And there’s enough reason to believe his work in the third round will carry over to the next five rounds of their rivalry.

Bet on Marlon Moraes – Best odds at Mybookie

UFC Fight Night 144: Raphael Assuncao vs. Marlon Moraes
Saturday, February 2 – 11:00 pm (ET) / 3:00am (GMT)

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